This is my forecast about COVID-19 disease in Italy
- The forecast is tuned by the last data of today and it'll update daily.
- The forecast is based on SIR epidemic model, a mathematical model to describe a spread of a disease in a population, where a I built the model and tuned the parameters to fit the current behavior of spread.
- The circle represents observed data coming from "data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard" and aligned with the one of Protezione Civile.
- The star represents the forecast predicted by the model.
- The timeline starts at t=24/02/2020
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