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Initial development notes

Andrew edited this page Jul 20, 2018 · 1 revision
  1. There is a choice: where to place most of state observation/reward estimation and prepossessing such as featurization, normalization, frame skipping and all other -zation: either to hide it inside environment or to do it inside RL algorytm?

    • E.g. while state feature estimators are commonly parts of RL algorithms, reward estimation is often taken directly from environment. In case of portfolio optimisation reward function can be tricky (not to mention state preprocessing), so it is reasonable to make it easyly accessable inside single module for ease of experimenting and hyperparameter tuning.
    • BTgym allows to do it both ways: either pass "raw" state observation and do all heavy work inside RL loop or put it inside get_state() and get_reward() methods.
    • To mention, it seems reasonable to pass all preprocessing work to server, since it can be done asynchronously with agent own computations and thus somehow speed up training.
  2. [state matrix], returned by Environment by default is 2d [n,m] numpy array of floats, where n - number of Backtrader Datafeed values: v[-n], v[-n+1], v[-n+2],...,v[0], i.e. from n steps back to present step, and every v[i] is itself a vector of m features (open, close,...,volume,..., mov.avg., etc.).

    • in case of n=1 process is obviously POMDP. Ensure Markov property by 'frame stacking' or/and employing stateful function approximators.
    • When n>1 process [somehow] approaches MDP (by means of Takens' delay embedding theorem).
  3. Why Gym, not Universe VNC environment?

    • At a glance, vnc-type environment should fit algorithmic trading extremely well. But to best of my knowledge, OpenAI is yet to publish its "DIY VNC environment" kit. Let's wait.
  4. Why Backtrader library, not Zipline/PyAlgotrader etc.?

    • Those are excellent platforms, but what I really like about Backtrader is clear [to me], flexible programming logic and ease of customisation. You dont't need to do tricks, say, to disable automatic calendar fetching, etc. I mean, it's nice feature and making it easy-to-run for trading people but prevents from correctly running intraday trading strategies. Since RL-algo-trading is in active research stage, it's impossible to tell in advance which setup and logic could do the job. IMO Backtrader is just well suited for this kinds of experiments. Besides this framework is being actively maintained.
  5. Why Currency data by default?

    • Obviously environment is data/market agnostic. Backtesting dataset size is what matters. Deep Q-value algorithm, most sample efficient among deep RL, take about 1M steps just to lift off. 1 year 1 minute FX data contains about 300K samples. Feeding dataset consisting of several years of data and performing random sampling [arguably] makes it realistic to expect algorithm to converge for intra-day or intra-week trading setting (~1500-5000 steps per episode). Besides, currency trading holds market liquidity and impact assumptions.
    • That's just preliminary assumption, not proved at all!
  6. Note for backtrader users:

    • There is a shift on meaning 'Backtrader Strategy' in case of reinforcement learning: BtgymStrategy is mostly used for technical and service tasks, like data preparation and order executions, while all trading decisions are taken by RL agent.
  7. On current implementation:

    • my commit was to treat backtrader engine as black box and create wrapper using explicitly defined and documented methods only. While it is not efficiency-optimised approach, I think it is still decent alpha-solution.
  8. Note: .research subpackage code can (and usually does) contain errors, logic flaws and can be poor performing generally.

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