This is an attempt to build an evolutionary model for the diffusion of the Covid-19 virus. It is still in a very preliminary status, I've put little attention for now at core readability / reusability, which I intend to do in the next days. I'll update this repo as much as I can.
You find the python code of the model in coronavirus_mod_ita folder. model.py contains the theoretical model whose
description is contained in model.md; optimizer.py contains the code for the numerical calibration procedure.
Finally, the notebooks folder contains few notebooks showing how I used the python library. I'll make more usable in
next days, and I'll write here a backlog of what I do / find.
Some discussion and new evidence on the model can be found here: https://raffaelelillo.blog
I hope this can be of some interest, if you would like to contribute or to give me your feedback, please contact me at any time, I'll be very happy to discuss.
Stay home, be safe and ad majora!