Skip to content
New issue

Have a question about this project? Sign up for a free GitHub account to open an issue and contact its maintainers and the community.

By clicking “Sign up for GitHub”, you agree to our terms of service and privacy statement. We’ll occasionally send you account related emails.

Already on GitHub? Sign in to your account

RuntimeError: Error during optimization! #2629

Open
xaviermurilo opened this issue Oct 9, 2024 · 0 comments
Open

RuntimeError: Error during optimization! #2629

xaviermurilo opened this issue Oct 9, 2024 · 0 comments

Comments

@xaviermurilo
Copy link

xaviermurilo commented Oct 9, 2024

Hi everyone, I'm getting this error trying to fit my Data Frame.
I tried to use different versions of the library prophet, but in all cases getting the same error.
I did a quickly review on the issues that others have found but different users found different solutions, i tried figure out how to solve, but without good results.

Environment:
Python 3.12
prophet==1.1.4
holidays==0.32
cmdstanpy==1.2.4

df structure :

        ds          y

0 2022-06-02 -188719.00
1 2022-06-03 -77518.00
2 2022-06-04 105109.00
3 2022-06-05 -34873.00
4 2022-06-08 -22407.00

My log at this moment is:

INFO:prophet:Disabling yearly seasonality. Run prophet with yearly_seasonality=True to override this.
INFO:prophet:Disabling daily seasonality. Run prophet with daily_seasonality=True to override this.
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:input tempfile: C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\xkyce9lj.json
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:input tempfile: C:\Users\MURILO
1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\q2yyhsm8.json
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:idx 0
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:running CmdStan, num_threads: None
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:CmdStan args: ['C:\Users\MuriloXavierDeSousa\PycharmProjects\learn\.venv\Lib\site-packages\prophet\stan_model\prophet_model.bin', 'random', 'seed=14426', 'data', 'file=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\xkyce9lj.json', 'init=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\q2yyhsm8.json', 'output', 'file=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\prophet_model76sf41x6\prophet_model-20241009102001.csv', 'method=optimize', 'algorithm=lbfgs', 'iter=10000']
10:20:01 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] start processing
INFO:cmdstanpy:Chain [1] start processing
10:20:01 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] done processing
INFO:cmdstanpy:Chain [1] done processing
10:20:01 - cmdstanpy - ERROR - Chain [1] error: terminated by signal 3221225657
ERROR:cmdstanpy:Chain [1] error: terminated by signal 3221225657
WARNING:prophet.models:Optimization terminated abnormally. Falling back to Newton.
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:input tempfile: C:\Users\MURILO
1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\ttixvi4d.json
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:input tempfile: C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\gagvaw1m.json
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:idx 0
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:running CmdStan, num_threads: None
DEBUG:cmdstanpy:CmdStan args: ['C:\Users\MuriloXavierDeSousa\PycharmProjects\learn\.venv\Lib\site-packages\prophet\stan_model\prophet_model.bin', 'random', 'seed=5620', 'data', 'file=C:\Users\MURILO
1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\ttixvi4d.json', 'init=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\gagvaw1m.json', 'output', 'file=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\prophet_model_gu0c5sw\prophet_model-20241009102001.csv', 'method=optimize', 'algorithm=newton', 'iter=10000']
10:20:01 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] start processing
INFO:cmdstanpy:Chain [1] start processing
10:20:01 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] done processing
INFO:cmdstanpy:Chain [1] done processing
10:20:01 - cmdstanpy - ERROR - Chain [1] error: terminated by signal 3221225657
ERROR:cmdstanpy:Chain [1] error: terminated by signal 3221225657
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Program Files\JetBrains\PyCharm Community Edition 2024.1.4\plugins\python-ce\helpers\pydev_pydevd_bundle\pydevd_exec2.py", line 3, in Exec
exec(exp, global_vars, local_vars)
File "", line 1, in
File "C:\Users\MuriloXavierDeSousa\PycharmProjects\learn.venv\Lib\site-packages\prophet\forecaster.py", line 1181, in fit
self.params = self.stan_backend.fit(stan_init, dat, **kwargs)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "C:\Users\MuriloXavierDeSousa\PycharmProjects\learn.venv\Lib\site-packages\prophet\models.py", line 97, in fit
self.stan_fit = self.model.optimize(**args)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "C:\Users\MuriloXavierDeSousa\PycharmProjects\learn.venv\Lib\site-packages\cmdstanpy\model.py", line 659, in optimize
raise RuntimeError(msg)
RuntimeError: Error during optimization! Command 'C:\Users\MuriloXavierDeSousa\PycharmProjects\learn.venv\Lib\site-packages\prophet\stan_model\prophet_model.bin random seed=5620 data file=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\ttixvi4d.json init=C:\Users\MURILO1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\gagvaw1m.json output file=C:\Users\MURILO~1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmp5eionmg2\prophet_model_gu0c5sw\prophet_model-20241009102001.csv method=optimize algorithm=newton iter=10000' failed:

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment
Labels
None yet
Projects
None yet
Development

No branches or pull requests

1 participant